NIO Stock Forecast
NIO stock price took a fall of -5.26% on Wednesday
(Updated on May 08, 2024)
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $5.64 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -22.76% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $2.66 and $4.35 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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NIO Signals & Forecast
The NIO stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $5.37. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $4.60. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, May 06, 2024, and so far it has fallen -8.26%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for NIO stock
On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $4.50 and $4.49. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, NIO finds support just below today's level at $4.50. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $4.49 and $4.00.
This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.170 between high and low, or 3.33%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.58%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (NIO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 9th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 9th we expect NIO Inc. to open at $5.20, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $4.90 and $5.54, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.324 (+/-6.21%) up or down from last closing price. If NIO Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 12.42% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $5.27 (0.96%) than the support at $4.50 (13.79%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is NIO Inc. stock A Buy?
NIO holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.109 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for NIO Inc. of Thursday, May 9, 2024
| Fair opening price May 9, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $5.20 ( 0.319%) | $5.22 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for NIO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 5.37 | 2.94 % | |
| R2 | 5.31 | 1.69 % | ||
| R1 | 5.27 | 0.92 % | ||
| Current price: | 5.22 | |||
| Support | S1 | 5.14 | -1.56 % | |
| S2 | 5.10 | -2.33 % | ||
| S3 | 5.03 | -3.58 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 5.77 | 10.54 % | |
| R2 | 5.59 | 7.09 % | ||
| R1 | 5.27 | 0.96 % | ||
| Current price | 5.22 | |||
| Support | S1 | 4.50 | -13.79% | |
| S2 | 4.49 | -13.98% | ||
| S3 | 4.00 | -23.37% |
FAQ
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